Realist and Neorealist Approaches on China-U.S. Power Struggle | Fatih Ümit Çetin - posavski-obzor.info
It is often the ones who experience a more intense romantic stage who have a stronger power struggle. Marriage is one of the greatest. mistakenly views its relationship with Beijing as a power struggle. has succeeded in bringing the country to the centre of the global stage. The more I thought about it, the more I realized that power struggles play a huge role in determining a relationship's success. I'm not saying we.
And, amongst other things, it can be quite easily observed that it pleases him for the Chinese military to increase its overseas presence. The artificial island built by China in the South China Sea is clearly part of greater Chinese military ambitions in Asia. Following statements made by Trump during the election, which threatened to pull the entirety of US forces from Japan, the Japanese feel that their country has become vulnerable like never before, especially in the face of this growing military aggression from nearby nations.
Japan must now depend on its small and relatively under-armed forces. However, a great deal of structural readjustment needs to be done to make it possible for the JSDF to effectively protect Japan from domestic and foreign threats. In order to do so, however, Abe needs to revise Article 9 of the Japanese constitution.
The Absence of the US in Asia: A Power Struggle Between China and Japan – Political Animal Magazine
The JSDF itself was actually created from a small battalion of police units intended to maintain the internal security of Japan. Decades after the signing of Article 9, the current size of JSDF is still relatively small and there is clearly a need to re-arm the force if it is to compete with the militaries of China and other developed countries.
Abe is getting closer to meeting his objective — his win in the recent snap election gave Abe the necessary support to revise Article 9 within a certain timeframe. Even in this mess, is has become apparent that Abe and Xi have something in common. Both leaders have remarkably strong political standings which have enabled them to hold office for extended periods of time. One of the reasons that Abe has remained in office longer than his past predecessors comes down to his economic policies.
Prior his time as Prime Minister, Japan was struggling to maintain its position as a global economic powerhouse. The economy had been stagnant for several years and unemployment had soared. Shinzo Abe advocated a number of related economic policies which came to be known as Abenomics to deal with these issues. Abenomics, as a term, describes the macroeconomic and fiscal policies that Abe used to bolster Japanese economic growth, reduce overall inflation, and lower the unemployment rate.First Comes Love, Then Comes the Power Struggle
The policies have proven to be successful in helping Japan recover from the crises previously mentioned. With his policies working, Abe has received much wider support and stronger backing in his ongoing push to reform Japan, including in the case of Article 9. Abe has also been very aggressive in his approach to foreign leaders. However Morgenthau tends to evaluate the outputs off the policies applied in economic, social etc. I as a scholar having a realist perspective believe that the power is the prevalent variable for examining the international output.
China in its early phases of development defined its policy priorities appropriate to its economic expectations. With its increasing economic capacity it could improve its domestic capability especially in terms of military strength. So I believe we will begin to watch a new China which at least dreams of being a hegemon.
It is inherent in the nature of all level from an individual to a state to dominate as much as it can. And it is either so natural for China to have such thoughts. On the other hand Chinese leaders are still applying a rational foreign policy which is highly mandatory in realpolitik. Because of the fact that hitting more than its capacity will make its position clearer and efforts to forestall it can be concentrated.
However as it becomes more powerful its intention will become more explicit and an inevitable engagement will occur between China and U. S in the near future. While leading this conflict nuclear weapons will become unusable power for two parts. Because two parts no matter more or less have the nuclear technology and applying them may undoubtedly endanger the survival of both parts. So the variation of nukes will be cancelled out of the formula.
Two countries which always aim the power returns while following economic, social or cultural paths will collide in these realms to prevent other to gain power. Socially and especially culturally America is the unrivaled power of the entire world. China is improving its economic ground however it is almost impossible for China to maintain it by behaving aggressively in the international politics. Korea which will never be completely volunteer to let it be the regional dominant and will possibly take the side of U.
To sum up, China has to restrain its revisionist patience and stay as the state following rational foreign policy due to its inability for a social and cultural competition, its economic constraints and geostrategic disadvantage which prevent China to apply policies for changing the distribution of power capability among powerful states. System along with its components is the key qualifier of the policy implications of a specific state.
The system that we are witnessing today gives U. The focus of current debates in academic world is whether China can be a great power and how U. Firstly I want to identify the system.
The major powers such as U. China is the only state to be able to try to district it. However China, according to me, has to behave legitimately rather than revolutionary. Because this strategy favors it more. China especially for last three decades continuously increased its power and during this process it was not restraint by a systemic factor.
No power tried to block the Chinas path of acquiring hybrid economy politics. Although it is sometime encountered with critics, no institutional sanction is identified to force China to leave its action. Furthermore being a member of Security Council is highly advantageous to maintain its political interests.
On the other hand Chinas economic miracle could be sustained only under the stability of world system. For these incentives China will behave against the actions threatening the current formalization of the system.
I believe cost of breaking this linkage will be more than expected returns of changing it. For a rising power China will dream of being the unrivaled power in the global system. But acting immediately does not seem rational for China.
It is in the process of decline. The gap between U. China which can guess that the play will eventually go in its favor will hesitate to frighten other states and will wait the optimum moment to challenge U. Acting prior to convenient may engender the fear of survival for others and push them to support the hegemony of U.
Lessons About Power Struggles in a Relationship
After China seems likely to be a great dominant, other will bandwagon to it. Namely, I believe China will be acting to increase its relative power in terms of economic and military context and won't act as a revolutionary state.
Current systemic dynamics makes the outbreak of war less possible. Because the military balance is constructed on the nuclear deterrence. So, especially the proliferation of nukes as also Brzezinski states will be a peacekeeper factor. Competition between China and U. We will certainly watch the process of equipping more military plants of China and U. But this enterprise will be carried out to decline the possibility of exposing to a threat of survival.
China will also be stimulated by the possibility of being a dominant power and will be more patient directing its resources to these investments. But this won't mean that the probability of witness a war will increase.
As I stated in my study of Anarchy and Balance of Power, to inline the anarchy and catastrophic military conflict is a big deception.
To conclude, I highly believe that the China will continue acting legitimately to the system and will be a great power not in the near future but after a few decades. I see the possibility of U.
MY CLAIM I am strongly supporting the theoretical assumptions of realist perspective and believe in the accuracy of its explaining international politics. I totally agree with the systemic approach and will use it while defining my presumed picture. China especially for last 30 years had an appealing economic performance.
Thanks to this success China could save the million people out of the broad line. It utilized a strategy that they combined the necessities of the domestic environment with more efficient market oriented regulations.
While following this path, they were not constrained by either any transnational regulatory institution or globally dominant power. It improved the infrastructure of their industry. When we examined the export portfolio of China for the last years of s, we can easily realize that it sells a great variety of qualitative and complex products which can be produced only by the countries having the three times per capita income of China.
After it got ready for the aggressive rivalry in international trade markets, it became the member of WTO which pre requisitely demanded China to leave some industry policies aside.